Harvest now 70% complete; Yields 6-8% over the 5 year average; Brexit potential delays extend window of free access to EU; Wheat production estimate increased to 764 Mln T; Russian wheat crop healthy; Weak Sterling due to Brexit uncertainty; Prices driven by exchange rate and political story; China demand for soya predicted to grow and premiums paid remain, and Brazil increase in soya production to meet China demand with US trade war continuing to remain. Scientists have discovered a planet with a dramatic egg-shaped path of orbit. Read more...
Filtered by subject: Currency
Wheat continues to drift downwards, having lost nearly £10 in the last 2 weeks; China added tariffs to $75bn worth on more US origin goods, which caused a flurry of activity in the last half of Friday; AHDB estimated that UK winter barley is 98% complete with production up between 17-20%, rapeseed at 95% complete but with the smallest crop since 2004-05…
A `no deal’ seems to be ever more likely, which could push sterling even weak against both the Euro and Dollar. The idea that the pound could fall to Parity is now starting to be more real despite a little bounce in values last week, and if you are buying your Euros privately to go abroad, it is already under parity!
The most recent monthly USDA report was an important point…
Devaluation of GBP continues; Currency having an effect on agri markets; Approx £45 price difference year on year for November futures; Barley market concerns due to no-deal Brexit; US/China trade talks lead to lower US wheat prices; China threat to retaliate against US tariffs; Global wheat futures look good; Ukrainian winter yields high; Soya bean market continues to feel pressure; Potential for UK soya prices to rise; What links farming and vampires? Well hopefully not too much these days…
UK wheat spiked; Significant devaluation of sterling; No deal Brexit more likely; Old wheat crop below futures price; Potential early cereal exports this season; World wheat crop down 6 Mln T; Argentina could have record wheat harvest; Soya bean and meal price slightly down; Unknown size of 2019 soya crop;
Sterling 2 year low; No-deal Brexit more likely; Recession forecast worsens; Harvest 2019 mid flow; Good Barley yields; Russian crops affected by weather; Ukraine reports better yields; Protein content in Brazilian soya low; Chinese / US dramas continue; US Soya bean market pressured by weather, and Fancy a good read….
Brexit plays politics with UK markets; US weather remains a big focus with heavy rains predicted; No end in sight for US/China trade deals; US farmer confidence low; Russian story is looking bright; EU crop remains promising with good balance of rain and sunshine; Soya bean market dropping fast; China reducing demand for soya; Ancient Bronze age birdman discovered in 5000 year old grave.
Wheat futures end the week higher. Currency remains key volatility driver. Brexit deadlines draw ever nearer. Zero import tariffs announced. Russian and Ukranian wheat lowest prices seen. US China deal remains focus. Soya market showing little change. Winter flooding in US. Hens get their revenge.
Highs and lows as wheat is driven by currency, Brexit and Trump. Lower wheat crop yields, lower soya crops, China tariffs and weird ground drawings.
As the Brexit deal shapes up, Sterling strengthens and the prices of UK Wheat drops. Globally, wheat production is estimated to reduce this year, whilst soya planting increases and soya prices fall. And whilst Mongolia is remote... that does not mean it is clean and untouched.
Generally, UK wheat is in supply and demand balance and trading within a narrow price band. And what goes up must come down - Imagine how this poor Japanese lady felt when she stepped into this fake lift. No doubt relieved to be alive.
Early in the week a Bloomberg headline about Brexit negotiations grinding to a halt, sent Sterling tumbling by 0.5 cent in one minute, which set the tone for the rest of the week.... and GPS... its uses are endless!
We are all suffering from the US weather market, it is dry in parts, raining in parts but generally the rain is missing the dry spots!
In the past week, currency and UK wheat markets have moved sideways, with May wheat futures currently trading at about £147.50, within the very tight range that wheat has been trading since mid-January.